Boca Raton, Florida 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

155
FXUS62 KMFL 131717
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
1217 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1210 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

  - Occasional showers continue today favoring east coast metro
    areas.

  - Hazardous winds and seas in the Atlantic will improve today.

  - Another strong cold front could drop across the peninsula on
    Thursday, bringing reinforcing cold air and more increased
    rain chances.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 1210 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Overcast skies and light shower activity continues through this
afternoon and potentially the evening as well due to a lingering
frontal boundary to the south over the Florida Straits. This is
leading to cloudy skies and stratiform rain over SE Florida.
Rainfall rates are very light, so no major hazards will occur.
High temperatures will struggle to rise given the ample cloud
cover and light rain, likely only reaching the low to mid 70s for
most areas, but especially for the east coast metro.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Wednesday)
Issued at 300 AM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Latest ensembles and global model solutions show a decaying sfc
boundary lingering over SoFlo today, and maybe lifting a little
northward. This will require keeping some POPs through early this
evening, 20-30 percent, favoring the eastern side of SoFlo. 00Z MFL
sounding and model data keep PWATs in the 1.3-1.5" range, for which
potential for isolated rainfall amounts of 1" still remains in the
forecast.

By Wednesday, models show a mid lvl shortwave feature moving around
the base of a deepening trough over the SE CONUS. Both systems are
shown migrating eastward, with overall synoptic flow veering more
southwestward/westward by the afternoon hours. This will further
focus highest chances of rain over the Atlantic coastline and
around the Broward/Palm Beach metro areas. Meanwhile, a more
robust sfc cold front will be pushed southward towards northern
Florida by late Wednesday.

High temperatures for the short term should remain in the upper 70s
to near 80, with overnight lows tonight mainly in the low 60s, with
some mid 60s around the east coast metro areas.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday night through Monday)
Issued at 300 AM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Model consensus depict a FROPA reaching the area on Thursday, with
rain chances increasing in the Wed night-Thu morning time frame
ahead of the front. Latest timing with this feature places the best
chances of showers during the mid/late morning hours on Thursday
with scattered to numerous showers possible. In general, dynamic
support seem to remain poor as the parent trough/low complex will
continue to pull NE into the eastern seaboard. And with prevailing
cloud cover, the daytime heating component should remain weak enough
to keep mention of thunderstorms out of the forecast attm. This,
however, will continue to be revised and updated as necessary.
50-70 POPs remain in the forecast for Thursday morning.

Winds veer northward Thursday night into Friday as broad high
pressure spreads across the SE CONUS, triggering another cold/dry
air advection event. Coldest temperatures with this robust cold air
mass are expected Friday morning before sunrise, with coastal areas
dropping into the upper 30s to mid 40s, and interior/northern areas
in the low-mid 30s. Friday afternoon will also remain fairly cool
for being SoFlo, with highs struggling to hit the mid-upper 60s.

Temperatures then gradually warm up during the weekend, but still
remaining around the low 70s in general. Then by Monday, models seem
to suggest another possible cool down with a front approaching the
area. There is still a lot of uncertainty in long range guidance, so
the forecast philosophy beyond the weekend will continue to be
updated with new guidance.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1210 PM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

MVFR/IFR CIGs continue for the east coast terminals this afternoon
with no signs of clearing until tonight. Winds will be out of the
east or east-northeast around 10 kts through this evening before
becoming variable overnight. Light SHRA remains likely for several
more hours at least for KMIA, KTMB, and KOPF.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 300 AM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

Hazardous boating conditions will continue until later this morning,
then conditions will quickly subside and remain below highlight
criteria through the middle of the week. A frontal passage is
expected to bring another round of hazardous-level winds and seas
for the Thursday night-Friday timeframe.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 300 AM EST Tue Jan 13 2026

High risk of rip currents expected to continue across the
Atlantic coastline until this evening.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            67  79  63  76 /  20  30  10  50
West Kendall     62  80  59  76 /  20  20  20  50
Opa-Locka        66  80  62  76 /  30  30  20  50
Homestead        66  80  62  77 /  20  30  10  50
Fort Lauderdale  66  79  62  74 /  30  30  20  50
N Ft Lauderdale  66  79  62  74 /  40  30  20  50
Pembroke Pines   64  80  61  75 /  30  30  20  50
West Palm Beach  65  78  59  73 /  40  30  20  50
Boca Raton       65  80  60  75 /  40  30  20  50
Naples           64  75  63  72 /  30  20  60  80

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...High Rip Current Risk until 7 PM EST this evening for FLZ168-172-
     173.

AM...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...17
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...Redman